Number of Firearms Licenses

I wonder if any other probate courts have that info at their fingertips. I would like to see if there if these figures run that close statewide.

 

I was thinking the same thing. That is a awful lot of folks who also vote, etc....

 

I'm skeptical. I think the rate of licenses is higher in rural counties than those in the metro area (where there are more people).

My GFL was issued in August of 2006 in Dekalb and my Permit # is 2006-13xx. In my mind, that means I am around the 1,300th person to receive a GFL in my county this year. I doubt that they repeat numbers once it hits 9999... Anyone else get their permit recently from DeKalb?

With 677,959 people living in DeKalb and maybe 2,000 permits by now, your numbers take a nose-dive lol.

Maybe we could get numbers with an FOI request to DeKalb? Can't hurt to try. I'm making one to them soon on another issue... maybe I'll send two and see if they can at least give me numbers... I know they can't give me names.

 

I'm in the high 20xx from DeKalb and I got mine Monday. Somehow I doubt they'll break 2100

 

The number 3652 is total, valid issued GFL's. Not the total that were issued in one year.
The GFL is valid for 5 years. Now, if DeKalb numbers GFL's by YEAR-ORDER ISSUED, then there are roughly 5 times how ever many are issued in a year. So, if DeKalb issues 2100 permits in the year 2006, then it seems that there are probably over 10,000 valid permits or so issued in DeKalb, or am I missing something???
FYI, my permit was issued Feb 04, number 25XX. There have been 1100 issued since mine, give or take a dozen or so.

 

Well, using DeKalb as example... I think we can safely extrapolate 2100 or so permits this year using mine and vipers as a baseline.

So, let's double that to around 4,000 just to assume that this is a slow year.

5 years x 4,000 a year = 20,000 permits

20,000 permits / 677,000 = ~.03% and that is on the high side!

Now, lets assume that of that .03 that probably 25% of people have probably either moved or don't even carry.

So there is a .0225% chance that someone next to you in DeKalb packs a CCW. Pretty miniscule. I bet there are a lot more bad guys than good guys too!

Actually, I'm pretty depressed now. I sure likedthe prospect of a million Georgians rising up against the public gathering law... sadly it's going to have to be just a few of us.

One could probably make an argument why DeKalb is so much more dangerous than the sheriffs county. We don't have enough good guys with the tools to protect themselves!

 

I agree that your distribution is different in rural vs. non-rural counties.

The distribution may be similar to Democrat (Liberal) and Republican (Conservative) congressional districts. If that isn't too far of a reach you could do a sampling of Democratic/Republican counties and get their GFL counts to confirm that information, then extrapolate the number of permits to the rest of the state.

Or, you could just ask the GBI how many applications they do per year, and throw out a percentage of them as being non-issued. After all, like Malum said, we're all *mostly* law abiding citizens so I doubt too many felons will be applying.

 

I'd consider that a safe bet, especially around Memorial!

 

Discount those ineligible (under 21, drug convictions, domestic abuse, felons) and that number gets real impressive. I would guess closer to 25%

 

foshizzle,

I think your decimal point is off. 20,000 is 3% of 677,000, not 0.03%.

If the statewide average is between Oconee's 12% and Dekalb's 3%, we could have a statewide number of around 7%, which still is a very respectable over half-million people.

 

I learned in the 3rd grade not to correct anyone else's math....Mrs Bowen instilled a fear of raising my hand to do any public cypherin'....
I figure somewhere between a 500,000 and 750,000 statewide permits as well.....that is a LOT of folks.

 

MP, Assaults on Officers and Line of Duty Deaths of Officers are a seperate statistic submitted by each agency in their monthly UCR report to the FBI.
I am not aware of a database that collects CRIMES committed by officers, however, Georgia POST Council is the state body that certifies Peace Officers in Georgia. and they do keep numbers about the certificates either put on probation, suspended or revoked. If memory serves POST Council does roughly 900 investigations a year, not sure how many they actually discipline, but for the record, stuff that doesn't make a blip on a citizens record can get your certificate punched by POST. POST is a well run effective State Agency, and if you screw up I can assure you they will get medevil on you.

 

I think a telling statistic would be the number of GFL's that are REVOKED by a Probate Judge. We have done maybe 5 or so in 14 years. Judge enters an order directed a Deputy Sheriff to seize the GFL. It has been done for conviction(s) and on once for someone who lied on the application about their address. However, I bet no one database keeps the numbers of revocations.

 

It's OK to correct my math when it's off 1000%... or was it 10,000%? I don't know how I even finished college sometimes.