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Discussion Starter · #1 · (Edited)
I saw this on another forum, which linked back to reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/4v3715/nfa_prediction_tool/
Basically download the spreadsheet from the google doc then enter you information and it spits out a projected date.

So for example, I put in that my check was cashed on 3/28/16, fill out it is a Form 4 suppressor (in state). Poof: projected approval date 8/25/16.

It says the average, based on data for others around my check cashed time frame is 8/12/16. (boy wouldn't that be nice if it was approved yesterday?)

I think I filled it out right at least.
 

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How long did it take you to open that file? I've tried to open it in different browsers but it never loads.
 

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NRA Instructor
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How long did it take you to open that file? I've tried to open it in different browsers but it never loads.
You have to download the file to open it.

Follow the link posted in the OP
There is another link to follow which takes you to the download link.
Click the download link
The screen will darken and in the upper right there will be a down arrow in the black field.
Click the down arrow and on the drop down select "Open With Microsoft Excel.

To open the file you need Office 2007 or newer. If someone wants to use an older version of Office let me know and I will convert it to run on older versions.

Looks like mine should get here between 8/4/2016 and 9/14/2016. At this point looks more like 10/13/2016 to 10/18/2016.
 

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:) :) :)
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Discussion Starter · #6 · (Edited)
Now NFATracker does have its own prediction calculate, but its a simple % based and month based. It also requires you have created an account and entered the information on items you have submitted. So based on their tracker (which uses last 6 months of data), I have a 75% chance by end of August and a 96% chance by end of September. So it seems fairly accurate by comparison.



Now with that said, I think anyone who has had a check cashed after 7/13 should basically ignore any and all data they receive from any source. I think the data is going to be seriously screwed by the influx of 7/13 buyers and its going to take months for the data to adjust accordingly. Hell, the data probably started screwing in the 30 days prior to 7/13.
 

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To open the file you need Office 2007 or newer. If someone wants to use an older version of Office let me know and I will convert it to run on older versions.
I'm running Excel 2002. That may be the problem. I'll just stick with NFATracker.
 

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:) :) :)
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Discussion Starter · #10 ·
Well some statistic guru's have been looking over data, mainly number of yearly forms submitted and then some of the more recent reports of forms submitted in the last 30-90 days before 7/13 hit and they are predicting we may be looking at 12+ months again for a while. Some even think it could be like 14+ months. Now these are in the end just guestimates as hard numbers are not available, so take with a grain of salt. However with that said, people are pretty intelligent when it comes to this topic so I wouldn't disregard it outright.
 
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