Interesting NFA prediction calculator (based on NFATracker)

Discussion in 'Firearm Related' started by TITAN308, Aug 13, 2016.

  1. TITAN308

    TITAN308 :) :) :)

    12,566
    16
    38
    I saw this on another forum, which linked back to reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/NFA/comments/4v3715/nfa_prediction_tool/

    Basically download the spreadsheet from the google doc then enter you information and it spits out a projected date.

    So for example, I put in that my check was cashed on 3/28/16, fill out it is a Form 4 suppressor (in state). Poof: projected approval date 8/25/16.

    It says the average, based on data for others around my check cashed time frame is 8/12/16. (boy wouldn't that be nice if it was approved yesterday?)

    I think I filled it out right at least.
     
    Last edited: Aug 13, 2016
  2. AzB

    AzB Well-Known Member

    2,361
    61
    48
    They probably meant 8/12/17. ;)

    Hope it comes soon for you. I don't even think about them any more, it's a nice surprise when they show up.
     

  3. TITAN308

    TITAN308 :) :) :)

    12,566
    16
    38
    Yea, put it this way, I'm not getting anymore stamps until the whole influx of 7/13 procrastinators dies down. :lol:
     
  4. moe mensale

    moe mensale Well-Known Member

    12,608
    1,704
    113
    How long did it take you to open that file? I've tried to open it in different browsers but it never loads.
     
  5. Wegahe

    Wegahe NRA Instructor

    3,259
    524
    113
    You have to download the file to open it.

    Follow the link posted in the OP
    There is another link to follow which takes you to the download link.
    Click the download link
    The screen will darken and in the upper right there will be a down arrow in the black field.
    Click the down arrow and on the drop down select "Open With Microsoft Excel.

    To open the file you need Office 2007 or newer. If someone wants to use an older version of Office let me know and I will convert it to run on older versions.

    Looks like mine should get here between 8/4/2016 and 9/14/2016. At this point looks more like 10/13/2016 to 10/18/2016.
     
  6. TITAN308

    TITAN308 :) :) :)

    12,566
    16
    38
    Now NFATracker does have its own prediction calculate, but its a simple % based and month based. It also requires you have created an account and entered the information on items you have submitted. So based on their tracker (which uses last 6 months of data), I have a 75% chance by end of August and a 96% chance by end of September. So it seems fairly accurate by comparison.

    [​IMG]


    Now with that said, I think anyone who has had a check cashed after 7/13 should basically ignore any and all data they receive from any source. I think the data is going to be seriously screwed by the influx of 7/13 buyers and its going to take months for the data to adjust accordingly. Hell, the data probably started screwing in the 30 days prior to 7/13.
     
    Last edited: Aug 14, 2016
  7. moe mensale

    moe mensale Well-Known Member

    12,608
    1,704
    113
    I'm running Excel 2002. That may be the problem. I'll just stick with NFATracker.
     
  8. Wegahe

    Wegahe NRA Instructor

    3,259
    524
    113
    I can convert the file to Office 2002 and send it to you. PM an email address if you want.
     
  9. moe mensale

    moe mensale Well-Known Member

    12,608
    1,704
    113
    Appreciate the offer but don't bother. Neither one of them will actually speed up the silly process anyway!
     
  10. TITAN308

    TITAN308 :) :) :)

    12,566
    16
    38
    Well some statistic guru's have been looking over data, mainly number of yearly forms submitted and then some of the more recent reports of forms submitted in the last 30-90 days before 7/13 hit and they are predicting we may be looking at 12+ months again for a while. Some even think it could be like 14+ months. Now these are in the end just guestimates as hard numbers are not available, so take with a grain of salt. However with that said, people are pretty intelligent when it comes to this topic so I wouldn't disregard it outright.